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Iran ceasefire or deal speculation

April 6, 2026The Kobeissi Letter, Mike Alfred, Kalshi

The Kobeissi Letter, Mike Alfred, and Kalshi circulate competing signals on a possible ceasefire or nuclear deal timeline, mixing official walk-backs with prediction-market odds and source-based claims.

There have been widespread reports about a potential "45-day ceasefire" in the Iran War over the last 12 hours.
The White House said the 45-day ceasefire is just "one of many ideas" being discussed
BREAKING: My most senior source within the White House is now nearly 100% certain that a peace deal between the US and Iran will be signed shortly.
BREAKING: Odds of US-Iran nuclear deal before June have doubled overnight
The Kobeissi Letter
Mike Alfred
Kalshi
geopoliticsprediction-markets

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