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NASA commercial cargo funding and SpaceX HLS cost model arguments

April 6, 2026Robotbeat

Robotbeat argued NASA commercial cargo funding enabled SpaceX and that SpaceX market cap now exceeds NASA's cumulative budget since SpaceX's founding, while also claiming NASA got a good deal on HLS compared to a NASA developed lander. The theme is NASA procurement leverage versus private scale.

NASA got a deal. $20-30B is how much a minimal NHRO lander would cost if developed by NASA using NASA's cost model. SpaceX got $3B for a crew landing.
NASA commercial cargo funding enabled SpaceX to exist.
SpaceX marketcap now is greater than NASA’s entire budget since SpaceX’s founding.
Robotbeat
hlsprocurementcost modelnasa

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