In r/SpaceX and r/BlueOrigin, commenters separate near-term LEO spacecraft readiness from the much harder lunar lander milestone, arguing Artemis III hinges on the latter. The debate focuses on feasibility of rushed Mk1.5 or Mk2 paths versus likely delays.
It's realistic that both SpaceX and Blue Origin will have a functioning LEO spacecraft by next year, which is all that Artemis III requires.
It is questionable that either SpaceX or Blue Origin will have a functioning lunar lander by the end of 2028, let alone next year.
How feasible is a manned Mk1.5/Mk2 lander being tested next year for Artemis III?
Mk1.5 maybe but it will be extremely tight.
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