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US Iran war headlines drive prediction market probabilities of ground operation

April 4, 2026DANNY

DANNY cites prediction markets repricing the chance of a ground operation in Iran around major Trump speech timing, using it as a risk signal for markets.

PREDICTION MARKETS NOW PRICE AROUND 62% CHANCE OF A GROUND OPERATION IN IRAN
PREDICTION MARKETS PRICE AROUND 7% CHANCE OF A GROUND OPERATION IN IRAN
DANNY
geopoliticsprediction marketsprediction markets

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