Ethan Mollick cites an independent extension of METR showing a 5.7 month doubling time and frontier models succeeding at tasks that take experts 10.5 hours.
applying it to offensive cybersecurity
5.7 months doubling time.
Frontier models now succeed 50% of the time at tasks that take human experts 10.5h.
This finding is one of many signals tracked across Artificial Intelligence. The live feed updates every few hours with new authority voices, debates, and emerging ideas.
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