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election odds markets highlighting Democratic sweep

March 31, 2026Kalshi, Charlie Bilello

Kalshi and Charlie Bilello cite prediction-market probabilities shifting toward Democrats, including a rising chance of a full sweep and Democrats favored to retake Congress.

43% chance Democrats sweep the Presidency, House, and Senate — an all-time high.
Democrats are now favored to take back the Senate (51% probability) and the House (85% probability)
Kalshi
Charlie Bilello
politicsprediction-markets

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